Trump’s primetime address isn’t likely to be a success

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Donald Trump hasn’t exactly been shy about the point of the primetime speech he intends to deliver Thursday night. During an appearance on Newsmax this week, for example, the president peddled familiar, tiresome nonsense: “Our elections are crooked, and we’ve got to straighten them out.”

A day later at an unrelated White House event, he said he didn’t want to go into a lot of detail about what would be included in his address, though he did tell reporters, “What we’re going to be talking about Thursday is, it doesn’t get bigger, because without free and fair elections, you don’t have a country.”

The president neglected to mention that Americans already have a country, as well as free and fair elections.

But while the public waits to hear Trump’s latest conspiratorial pitch, it’s worth appreciating the fact that the format he has chosen has not exactly served him well.

In recent decades, primetime presidential addresses are generally reserved for major announcements about pressing matters of great significance. Trump’s primetime presidential addresses, however, tend to be duds.

Consider some of the more notable examples.

April 1, 2026: The president delivered remarks on the war in Iran — though once it was over, no one seemed to have any idea what the point of the speech was. He presented no plan. He offered no coherent vision. Trump meandered from dubious point to dubious point and peddled a contradictory message about a possible endpoint, leaving many viewers even more concerned about the war. The New York Times’ Helene Cooper summarized, “Trump has concluded speaking after 19 minutes. … This was a rehash of his Truth Social posts over the past month.”

The speech had no discernable effect on public attitudes or his approval rating.

December 17, 2025: Trump delivered a primetime address, ostensibly to talk about how great the first year of his second term was. What he presented, however, was 18 minutes of combative presidential blame-shifting and excuse-making, packaged in the unsubtle desperation of a man who didn’t seem to understand why so much of the public failed to appreciate his systemic failures and embarrassments.

The speech also had no discernable effect on public attitudes or his approval rating.

March 11, 2020: As the pandemic started to wreak havoc in the United States, Trump delivered a weird Oval Office address in which he flubbed his own policy, prompting White House officials to spend the rest of the evening clarifying that president didn’t exactly mean what he said.

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