Blue states lose congressional seats to red states in 2030 census analysis
CITY, State (Fox News) — Blue states may lose congressional seats to red states after 2030, with New York and California projected to lose six seats while Texas and Florida may gain eight, according to a census analysis.
## Key Facts:
– Dr. Jonathan Cervas at Carnegie Mellon University and Redistricting Network shared the 2025-based estimates.
– New York has been steadily losing seats since the 1940s.
– Jeff Wice from New York Law School expressed concerns about the potential seat losses for New York and California.
## Key Facts:
– Illinois, Rhode Island, and Oregon are also projected to lose seats, while Utah and Idaho may gain.
– If the predictions hold true, Democrats’ path to the Electoral College may become more challenging.
– New York’s delegation could drop to 24 seats, and California’s to 48.
## Key Facts:
– Texas and Florida are expected to gain House seats post-census.
– Texas and Florida have been among the fastest-growing states in the country since 2020.
– Blue states could face more seat losses if citizenship questions are included in the census.
This content was written by Bonny Chu, a Digital Production Assistant at Fox News Digital.









